Escalating Verbal Conflict Involving Ethiopian Government and Eritrea Raises Concerns of Armed Clash

Mounting worries have emerged over the potential of warfare between Horn of Africa neighbors, Ethiopia and the Eritrean government, as confrontational discourse has ratcheted up in the past few weeks.

Ethiopia-Eritrea border
The Ethiopian government and The Eritrean government worked together in the armed struggle in northern Ethiopia but they have subsequently disagreed.

What Has Ethiopia Stated?

Landlocked Ethiopia's demands for passage to the sea coast through Eritrea has provoked a heated rhetorical conflict.

Ethiopian Prime Minister initially stated publicly in the previous year that his nation's maritime access was an existential matter, comments that Eritrea rejected.

Diplomatic connections between the both governments have frequently been strained. Following a prolonged battle for independence, Eritrea, which has a 1,350km (840-mile) maritime frontage, formally separated from Ethiopian rule in the early 1990s, making it cut off from the sea.

Five years later, a territorial conflict broke out in which numerous people were killed.

Recent Statements from Ethiopian Officials

Prime Minister Abiy and military leader the army commander have directly stated control of Eritrea's coastal city of Assab – about 60km from the boundary - and implied the desire to take it by force.

On 1 September, Abiy said Ethiopia's "blunder" of losing access to the Red Sea as a because of Eritrean independence would be "rectified in the future".

The Ethiopian envoy to neighboring Kenya, retired Gen Bacha Debele, said that Assab was "belonging to Ethiopia" and would be returned "using武力".

Eritrean Answer to the Threats

In the face of persistent warnings from Ethiopia, Eritrea's response has been restricted to short statements on online platforms from Information Minister Yemane G..

He has rejected Ethiopian requests for sea access describing it as "dangerous" and a "negative policy" of "irredentism" – a strategy of claiming back previous domains.

Government spokespeople alerted on 16 September that efforts to validate "obvious provocation" would have serious consequences for Ethiopia and its neighbors and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Movements on the Border

Currently, there are no reports of large-scale army activities in the frontier regions between the neighboring states.

However, in the country, national TV has shown completion events of thousands of cadets at different defense facilities.

The leader of human resources department of the armed forces, the officer, commented lately in an interview that the defense forces was in a "strong stance" as "many thousands of young people" were enlisting, which he said was "a signal to our enemies".

Past Roots of the Dispute

For decades from 1890, Eritrea was governed by Italian colonisers.

After World War II, it was then controlled by the UK forces before evolving into a federated part of Ethiopia.

Yet in 1962 Emperor Haile Selassie I ended this system and the region became fully incorporated into the Ethiopian state.

A thirty-year internal conflict occurred, ending with the government's loss in the early 1990s. Sovereignty was then approved by voters in a referendum in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were friendly connections between the authorities in Ethiopia's capital and Asmara, but they clashed over the precise positioning of their mutual frontier, causing hostilities in 1998.

Even though this ended in a ceasefire agreement in 2000, it was partially applied, and the both countries continued at odds.

This situation improved in 2018, when the Prime Minister made gestures to Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki. The two signed a declaration that the war was concluded – a move that won the Prime Minister the prestigious award.

The neighboring states were then allies in the country's previous armed struggle in the northern region.

But diplomatic connections have later worsened once more.

Karen Rogers
Karen Rogers

Award-winning astrophysicist and science communicator passionate about making space accessible to everyone.